Dampak Penurunan Tarif di Skema Request-Offer Taiwan dan Indonesia terhadap Ekonomi Makro Indonesia: Simulasi GTAP Versi 9
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.55606/khatulistiwa.v5i1.6163Keywords:
Macroeconomics, Optimistic Scenario, Pessimistic Scenario, Request-Offer Scheme, Tariff ReductionAbstract
Cooperation between Taiwan and Indonesia continues and develops in various fields. Taiwan is Indonesia's main trading partner. This research to analyze the impact of Taiwan dan Indonesia cooperation through tariff reductions with pessimistic scenarios (tariff reductions of 50%) and optimistic scenarios (tariff reductions of 95%) on commodities contained in request-offer schemes that are applied reciprocallously in each country (Taiwan and Indonesia). Both scenarios are applied to analyze their impact on Indonesia's macroeconomy which includes welfare, Gross Domestic Product (GDP), government and private consumption, investment, government spending, trade balance, and inflation. The analysis method used is the simulation of Global Trade Analysis Project (GTAP) versi 9 database. Indonesia's welfare, consumption (government and private), investment, government spending, and inflation increased in both tariff reduction scenarios, while Indonesia's trade balance declined in both tariff reduction scenarios. Indonesia needs to increase competitiveness of commodities contained and added value in the Taiwan and Indonesia request-offer schemes to increase the capacity and quality of Indonesia's exports in Taiwan.
References
Aditya, R. (2018). The invisibility of Taiwan-Indonesia relations: Indonesian student on the side-line. Journal of ASEAN Studies, 6(2), 192–212. https://doi.org/10.21512/jas.v6i2.5354.g3497
Badan Pusat Statistik (BPS). (2019). Nilai ekspor menurut negara tujuan utama. https://www.bps.go.id/
Betrix, S., Wiwiek, R., & Widyastutik. (2019). Impact of Indonesia-Taiwan bilateral cooperation on Indonesia economy. Gyanshauryam, International Scientific Refereed Research Journal, 2(6), 1–18. http://gisrrj.com/GISRRJ19262
Betrix. (2019). Dampak kerja sama bilateral Indonesia-Taiwan terhadap perekonomian Indonesia (Tesis tidak dipublikasikan). Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Center for Global Trade Analysis (CGTA). (2018). GTAP 9 Data Base. https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/databases/v9/default.asp/
Eurasia Review. (2018). Transforming Taiwan-Indonesia ties in 21st century: New challenges—Analysis. https://www.eurasiareview.com/
Hsiao, H. M., & Yang, A. H. (2018). Repositioning Taiwan in Southeast Asia: Strategies to enhance people-to-people connectivity. Political and Security Affairs, 1(18), 1–5.
Imadidin, R. (2018). Fasilitasi perdagangan, kinerja ekspor dan ketimpangan pendapatan di negara-negara Regional Comprehensive Economic Partnership (RCEP) (Tesis tidak dipublikasikan). Institut Pertanian Bogor.
International Trade Centre (ITC). (2019). Bilateral trade between Indonesia and Taipei, Chinese; Asia; and World product. https://www.trademap.org/
Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia (Kemendag). (2015). Pusat kebijakan kerja sama perdagangan internasional Badan Pengkajian dan Pengembangan Kebijakan Perdagangan 2014. http://www.kemendag.go.id/
Kementerian Perdagangan Republik Indonesia (Kemendag). (2017). Kerja sama Indonesia-Taiwan meningkat, KDEI Taipei terima penghargaan. http://www.kemendag.go.id/
Marston, H., & Bush, R. C. (2018). Taiwan’s engagement with Southeast Asia is making progress under the New Southbound Policy. https://www.brookings.edu/
Nugraha, D. T. (2018). Trade creation dan trade diversion Indonesia dengan negara anggota AANZFTA pada komoditas garam (Tesis tidak dipublikasikan). Institut Pertanian Bogor.
Oktaviani, R., & Puspitawati, E. (2017). Teori, model, dan aplikasi GTAP di Indonesia. Bogor: Institut Pertanian Bogor.
The World Bank Group. (2013). Pembangunan sektor perdagangan di Indonesia. https://www.worldbank.org/
Tso, C., & Jung, G. (2018). Taiwan’s New Southbound Policy: One-year economic performance review. The National Bureau of Asian Research: Political and Security Affairs, 1(18), 1–8.
Walmsley, T. L., Aguiar, A. H., & Narayanan, B. (2012). Introduction to the Global Trade Analysis Project and the GTAP data base (GTAP Working Paper No. 3965). Purdue University. https://www.gtap.agecon.purdue.edu/
World Integrated Trade Solution (WITS). (2019). Data on export, import, tariff, and NTM. https://wits.worldbank.org/
Downloads
Published
How to Cite
Issue
Section
License
Copyright (c) 2025 Khatulistiwa: Jurnal Pendidikan dan Sosial Humaniora
This work is licensed under a Creative Commons Attribution-ShareAlike 4.0 International License.
